Two Similar Trading Strategies — Two Completely Different Outcomes
[ad_1] Recurring Orders vs Concentrated Liquidity Recurring Orders and Concentrated Liquidity are two popular onchain trading strategies that may initially appear similar. On the surface, both involve buying and selling as price moves within a range. In practice, however, these two strategies behave very differently inside the price range, generate returns through different approaches, and express […]
Vance Leads GOP 2028 Odds as Markets Price Trump Risk
[ad_1] Key Takeaways ▸ JD Vance is the clear front-runner (~35–39% across markets), reflecting traditional heir-apparent dynamics more than a wide-open race. ▸ Donald Trump trades at low odds (~2–3%) but his shadow will continue to shape the board. ▸ Polymarket (~$600M) and Kalshi (~$33M) GOP markets are active, though well behind Democratic volumes (~$1B […]
Migrate Your Position. Set Your Spread. Keep 100%.
[ad_1] Bancor introduces Carbon DeFi’s new one-step migration feature. Liquidity providers can now move existing positions from other major DEXs in a single transaction. Enabled by support for EIP-7702 — which allows multiple onchain actions to be grouped and executed together — moving a position into Carbon DeFi is reduced to one step. When a user connects their wallet, Carbon […]
Ohio Regulators Move to Fine Kalshi $5 Million, Could Fuel Appeal
[ad_1] Key Takeaways ▸ Regulators moved from warnings to a proposed $5M fine, formally labeling Kalshi’s event contracts as unlicensed sports gaming. ▸ With enforcement now material, Kalshi has stronger footing for its appeal and request for injunctive relief. The Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC) is escalating enforcement action against Kalshi, announcing intentions to impose […]
Concentrated Liquidity and Recurring Orders: Two Execution Architectures
[ad_1] *This publication is a more technical explanation of Concentrated Liquidity and Recurring Orders. For the ELI5, see: Two Similar Trading Strategies — Two Completely Different Outcomes Liquidity provisioning is frequently mischaracterized as a passive source of yield. In reality, a liquidity position is an active trading strategy. It is an automated mechanism for quoting prices, acquiring […]
California Governor Race Tops $15M in Trading, Hinges on Who Survives June Primary
[ad_1] Key Takeaways ▸ California’s nonpartisan top-two primary system is forcing traders to price who advances, not just who wins, creating more complex and active markets. ▸ Polymarket has drawn over $9.1M and Kalshi over $6.5 million in volume on the race, forecasting a Republican advancer but a Democratic general election winner. ▸ With no […]
Why State Regulation Breaks the Prediction Market Exchange Model
[ad_1] Key Takeaways ▸ Core features like shared liquidity, market makers, and order books are restricted or outright prohibited under state gambling regulations. ▸ GGR-based taxes and fragmented licensing create costs that exceed exchange-level margins. ▸ Operators are moving toward CFTC-regulated models where exchange infrastructure can actually function, out of necessity. The courts are split […]
Fox to Integrate Kalshi Forecasts Across Platforms, Excluding Politics
[ad_1] Kalshi data will appear in branded graphics across Fox News Media platforms as part of a sponsored integration, following similar deals with CNN and CNBC. Fox News Media will integrate forecast data from prediction market platform Kalshi across its news and streaming platforms, marking the company’s latest push to embed real-time probability signals into […]
$10 Bonus for UFC Vegas Moicano vs. Duncan
[ad_1] UFC fight night promo code: DEFI | Offer: $10 bonus after $10 in trades | Deposit required: $1 minimum Kalshi is offering a $10 promo for UFC Vegas 115: Moicano vs. Duncan. New users qualify for a $10 bonus using Kalshi promo code DEFI for Moicano vs. Duncan. Prelims start at 5pm ET, main card at 8pm ET on […]
Kentucky Leads New State Push to Tax Prediction Markets, Testing Limits of State Authority
[ad_1] Key Takeaways ▸ Kentucky became the first state to explicitly tax prediction market platforms (14.25% on transaction fees), with Iowa (20%) and Illinois (50%) proposing similar measures, all focused on revenue capture rather than prohibition. ▸ The federal agency that oversees trading markets (the CFTC) sued three states, arguing that prediction markets are a […]