Markets Favor El-Sayed in Michigan Democratic Senate Primary as Polls Stay Split
[ad_1] Key Takeaways ▸ Polls show a wide-open three-way race, but prediction markets price Abdul El-Sayed as the clear (though slight) favorite. ▸ Markets appear to factor in momentum indicators like small-dollar fundraising and online engagement that polls don’t fully capture. ▸ Despite primary uncertainty, markets still strongly favor Democrats to hold the seat. The […]
Democrats 85% to Flip the House in 2026 Midterms, Senate Still a Toss-Up
[ad_1] Prediction markets are forecasting an 85% chance of House control flipping to Democrats in the 2026 midterms, with the Senate left as a messy, seat‑by‑seat brawl. Prediction markets are now pricing Democrats as clear favorites to retake the House and showing the Senate as a narrow, likely toss-up race, in the midterm 2026 elections. That market […]