Prediction markets have moved directly into self-custodial wallets for the first time, with Solflare launching native prediction market trading inside its application.
The integration allows users to trade real-world event outcomes on Solana without leaving the wallet, marking a significant step toward mainstream distribution for event-based contracts.
The feature is built on the DFlow Prediction Markets API and sources liquidity from Kalshi, one of the most established regulated players in the sector.
According to Solflare, the rollout introduces prediction markets with zero added fees, full self-custody, and on-chain settlement, all within its existing wallet interface.
From niche product to wallet-native feature
Until now, prediction markets have existed mainly as standalone platforms, requiring users to move funds between wallets, exchanges, and specialized apps.
By embedding the product directly into a popular Solana wallet, Solflare is removing that friction and positioning prediction markets alongside everyday crypto activities such as token swaps, staking, and NFT management.
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For the first time ever, Prediction Markets are now live in @Solflare.
Built on the DFlow Prediction Markets API with @Kalshi liquidity.
Trade real-world events on Solana with zero added fees and full self-custody.
All inside one of the most secure crypto wallets. pic.twitter.com/laqEj3yJA2
— DFlow (@dflow) December 29, 2025
The launch enables users to trade on outcomes tied to politics, economics, and other real-world events while maintaining custody of their assets at all times. Positions are opened and managed directly from the wallet, with Solana handling execution and settlement.
Rather than building an isolated market, Solflare’s integration relies on Kalshi’s existing order flow and pricing.
Kalshi supplies the underlying event contracts, while DFlow provides the infrastructure layer that connects regulated prediction liquidity to on-chain wallet environments.
This model allows wallets to offer prediction markets without fragmenting liquidity across multiple venues.
Fast growth sets industry records
The launch follows a period of growth for on-chain prediction activity. Opinion, one of the fastest-scaling prediction market products built on similar infrastructure, reached $10 billion in trading volume and $100 million in open interest within just 54 days of launch, according to figures shared alongside the announcement.
Those metrics represent one of the fastest adoption curves recorded for a prediction market product, indicating rising demand for real-time sentiment trading tied to global events.
54 days. From zero to mainstream.
$10B in trading volume.
$100M in open interest.Opinion sets a new record as the FASTEST-GROWING prediction market in HISTORY. pic.twitter.com/Ugnjl08xvR
— Opinion ⁒ (@opinionlabsxyz) December 29, 2025
Regulatory and market implications
While Kalshi operates under US regulatory oversight, integrating its liquidity into a self-custodial wallet introduces new questions around jurisdiction, compliance, and user access. The integration does not alter Kalshi’s contract structure but changes how end users interact with those markets.
Similar wallet-level integrations are likely to draw attention from both regulators and competitors as prediction markets continue to expand beyond specialized platforms. Industry observers note that distribution, rather than contract design alone, may determine which products achieve mainstream adoption.
The Solflare launch indicates a shift in how prediction markets are delivered to users. They are increasingly becoming embedded features within crypto ecosystems.
